
\begin{table}
\caption{Heterogeneity analysis: Logistic regression results of upward and downward comparisons for ethnic conflict conditional on political exclusion(1992-2020)}
\begin{center}
\scalebox{0.65}{
\begin{tabular}{l c c c c c c c c}
\hline
 & \multicolumn{4}{c}{DV: Conflict Onset} & \multicolumn{4}{c}{DV: Conflict Incidence} \\
\cline{2-5} \cline{6-9}
 & M1:Best & M2:Worst & M3:Median & M4:Nearest & M5:Best & M6:Worst & M7:Median & M8:Nearest \\
\hline
Relative poverty                          & $0.102$        & $0.018$        & $0.054$        & $0.061$        & $0.015$        & $-0.109$       & $-0.041$       & $-0.064$       \\
                                          & $(0.119)$      & $(0.291)$      & $(0.162)$      & $(0.232)$      & $(0.066)$      & $(0.205)$      & $(0.089)$      & $(0.176)$      \\
Relative wealth                           & $-0.060$       & $-0.003$       & $-0.233$       & $-0.049$       & $-0.834^{**}$  & $-0.184^{*}$   & $-0.937^{***}$ & $-0.529^{**}$  \\
                                          & $(0.285)$      & $(0.134)$      & $(0.342)$      & $(0.225)$      & $(0.366)$      & $(0.165)$      & $(0.329)$      & $(0.205)$      \\
Relative poverty $\times$ Status excluded & $-0.114$       & $0.181$        & $-0.057$       & $-0.072$       & $-0.003$       & $0.191$        & $-0.034$       & $-0.002$       \\
                                          & $(0.132)$      & $(0.293)$      & $(0.176)$      & $(0.251)$      & $(0.102)$      & $(0.232)$      & $(0.129)$      & $(0.199)$      \\
Relative wealth $\times$ Status excluded  & $-0.204$       & $0.136$        & $-0.008$       & $-0.089$       & $0.367$        & $0.249^{*}$    & $0.401$        & $0.130$        \\
                                          & $(0.367)$      & $(0.168)$      & $(0.405)$      & $(0.286)$      & $(0.475)$      & $(0.162)$      & $(0.431)$      & $(0.299)$      \\
TEK status excluded                       & $0.242$        & $0.112$        & $0.499^{*}$    & $0.202$        & $-0.308^{**}$  & $-0.524^{***}$ & $-0.186$       & $0.096$        \\
                                          & $(0.244)$      & $(0.262)$      & $(0.243)$      & $(0.246)$      & $(0.172)$      & $(0.222)$      & $(0.176)$      & $(0.215)$      \\
Horizontal inequality                     & $-0.125$       & $-0.099$       & $-0.137$       & $-0.117$       & $-0.096$       & $-0.153$       & $-0.132$       & $-0.141$       \\
                                          & $(0.143)$      & $(0.185)$      & $(0.155)$      & $(0.172)$      & $(0.146)$      & $(0.132)$      & $(0.145)$      & $(0.165)$      \\
Status excluded                           & $0.995^{**}$   & $0.500$        & $0.769^{*}$    & $0.844^{*}$    & $0.577^{**}$   & $0.381$        & $0.540^{*}$    & $0.605^{**}$   \\
                                          & $(0.476)$      & $(0.476)$      & $(0.503)$      & $(0.480)$      & $(0.343)$      & $(0.307)$      & $(0.367)$      & $(0.375)$      \\
Previous rebellions                       & $1.309^{***}$  & $1.350^{***}$  & $1.310^{***}$  & $1.378^{***}$  & $1.605^{***}$  & $1.484^{***}$  & $1.580^{***}$  & $1.596^{***}$  \\
                                          & $(0.351)$      & $(0.339)$      & $(0.346)$      & $(0.343)$      & $(0.339)$      & $(0.323)$      & $(0.339)$      & $(0.330)$      \\
Status downgraded                         & $1.422^{***}$  & $1.479^{***}$  & $1.468^{***}$  & $1.448^{***}$  & $0.978^{**}$   & $1.022^{***}$  & $0.991^{**}$   & $1.063^{***}$  \\
                                          & $(0.465)$      & $(0.470)$      & $(0.468)$      & $(0.465)$      & $(0.543)$      & $(0.522)$      & $(0.540)$      & $(0.540)$      \\
Ln(Country GDP per capita)                & $-0.185$       & $-0.192$       & $-0.162$       & $-0.203^{*}$   & $-0.026$       & $-0.087$       & $-0.039$       & $-0.067$       \\
                                          & $(0.140)$      & $(0.126)$      & $(0.140)$      & $(0.129)$      & $(0.092)$      & $(0.101)$      & $(0.105)$      & $(0.096)$      \\
Ln(Country population)                    & $0.138$        & $0.101$        & $0.132$        & $0.110$        & $0.301^{***}$  & $0.327^{***}$  & $0.327^{***}$  & $0.298^{***}$  \\
                                          & $(0.075)$      & $(0.075)$      & $(0.075)$      & $(0.077)$      & $(0.074)$      & $(0.067)$      & $(0.073)$      & $(0.070)$      \\
Peace Year                                & $-0.327^{***}$ & $-0.325^{***}$ & $-0.325^{***}$ & $-0.327^{***}$ & $-0.656^{***}$ & $-0.661^{***}$ & $-0.653^{***}$ & $-0.658^{***}$ \\
                                          & $(0.056)$      & $(0.054)$      & $(0.056)$      & $(0.056)$      & $(0.060)$      & $(0.060)$      & $(0.060)$      & $(0.061)$      \\
Peace Year $^2$                           & $0.010^{***}$  & $0.010^{***}$  & $0.010^{***}$  & $0.010^{***}$  & $0.023^{***}$  & $0.022^{***}$  & $0.022^{***}$  & $0.023^{***}$  \\
                                          & $(0.002)$      & $(0.002)$      & $(0.002)$      & $(0.002)$      & $(0.003)$      & $(0.003)$      & $(0.003)$      & $(0.003)$      \\
Peace Year $^2$                           & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ & $-0.000^{***}$ \\
                                          & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      & $(0.000)$      \\
Intercept                                 & $-4.601^{**}$  & $-3.681^{*}$   & $-4.615^{**}$  & $-3.849^{**}$  & $-6.712^{***}$ & $-6.434^{***}$ & $-6.927^{***}$ & $-6.433^{***}$ \\
                                          & $(1.667)$      & $(1.471)$      & $(1.708)$      & $(1.590)$      & $(1.650)$      & $(1.568)$      & $(1.756)$      & $(1.531)$      \\
\hline
AIC                                       & $655.219$      & $655.747$      & $652.633$      & $656.753$      & $1287.812$     & $1291.466$     & $1283.079$     & $1291.579$     \\
BIC                                       & $765.479$      & $766.007$      & $762.893$      & $767.013$      & $1399.188$     & $1402.841$     & $1394.455$     & $1402.954$     \\
Log Likelihood                            & $-311.610$     & $-311.873$     & $-310.317$     & $-312.377$     & $-627.906$     & $-629.733$     & $-625.539$     & $-629.789$     \\
Deviance                                  & $623.219$      & $623.747$      & $620.633$      & $624.753$      & $1255.812$     & $1259.466$     & $1251.079$     & $1259.579$     \\
Num. obs.                                 & $7268$         & $7268$         & $7268$         & $7268$         & $7793$         & $7793$         & $7793$         & $7793$         \\
\hline
\multicolumn{9}{l}{\scriptsize{$^{***}p<0.01$; $^{**}p<0.05$; $^{*}p<0.1$}}
\end{tabular}
}
\label{tab:status}
\end{center}
\end{table}
